Azad Zangana

Senior European Economist and Strategist

Highlight

Market News

02OCT 2019

How might the UK economy react to different Brexit scenarios?

The UK’s path to Brexit remains unclear, even as the 31 October deadline approaches. We look at three scenarios and the potential economic impact of each.

Market News

12SEP 2019

2019

JULY

31JUL 2019

Market News

Slowing eurozone needs fiscal boost

A sluggish outlook and low inflation suggest the European Central Bank is inching towards further stimulus, which we don’t think will be enough.

31JUL 2019

Market News

Why weaker pound has failed to turbocharge the economy

Without an increase in exports, the expected benefit from the currency depreciation is lost.

23JUL 2019

Market News

Boris Johnson: the challenges faced by the new UK PM

The “do or die” Brexiteer will face enormous challenges from the outset as the UK’s new prime minister. We look at what his victory might mean.

MAY

10MAY 2019

Market News

Brexit stockpiling drives improvement in UK GDP growth

First quarter growth has improved, but is likely to slow again as the stockpiling behind it is unsustainable.

08MAY 2019

Market News

Why a pick-up in UK growth may prove deceptive

Recent economic data from the UK has improved but signs are that this is due to stockpiling ahead of worries over potential Brexit disruption.

2018

NOVEMBER

16NOV 2018

EU Referendum

Brexit: UK economic outlook hinges on May selling deal

We think the risk of a no-deal Brexit should mean Theresa May gets her deal through parliament. If not, the UK risks a recession next year.

AUGUST

10AUG 2018

Market News

UK GDP rebounded in Q2 but final sales are in recession

A build-up of inventories is a worrying sign of a potential recession ahead.

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