In the sector press

The Model Portfolio?

20/06/2015

Kate Rogers

Kate Rogers

Head of Policy, Co-Manager of Charity Multi-Asset Fund

Schroders

Kate Rogers, Portfolio Director and Head of Policy at Cazenove Charities shares her thoughts on issues faced by the charity sector in Third Sector Magazine every other month. 

 

Last month I was lucky enough to hear the ‘godfather’ of endowment asset management speak at our annual Charity Lecture.   David Swensen is the Chief Investment Officer of the $24bn Yale Endowment and his model of endowment management has been incredibly influential in the management of charitable assets.   As he described his thought process in creating the Yale model over 30 years ago, it struck me how the principles still apply today.   At the time, the average US endowment had an asset allocation of roughly 50% domestic US equities, 40% US bonds and 10% 'alternatives', the latter of which included overseas equities.  This structure didn't seem right to him, for two main reasons.

1. It was undiversified In 1952 Harry Markowitz, Nobel Prize winning economist, described diversification as the only 'free lunch' when seeking investment returns.  So if diversification can be shown to be an unalterably good thing why would Yale wish to hold 90% of its assets in US marketable securities?

2. It was too risk averse Endowments are fortunate to have investment time horizons measured in decades and centuries.  It is clear from historic analysis that long term investors are rewarded for equity risk, so why the lack of equity orientation? It became clear that he didn't want Yale to follow this type of investment strategy, so instead constructed a diversified equity biased approach often now referred to as the 'Yale model'.  This approach recognises that asset allocation is the most important determinant of returns, explaining 90% of the variability of returns of institutional portfolios.

Although examining the history of asset class returns shows that higher risk equity markets have delivered the best return, the long term figures mask periods of considerable volatility that would prove unpalatable to many charity investors.  The Yale model views diversification as the ideal marriage partner to an equity bias, allowing charities to live through the trauma of a downturn in markets. Quoting Keynes, the renowned economist, he also highlighted the danger of attempting to market time. ‘Most of those who attempt to, sell too late and buy too late, and do both too often, incurring heavy expenses and developing too unsettled and speculative a state of mind.’   The Yale model does not attempt to market time, but rebalances regularly, and David pointed to evidence that investors systematically detract from the performance by buying high and selling low.

He does, however, believe that  the selection of investments to include within the portfolio provides opportunities to enhance returns.  His advice is to focus the active management time, energy and cost, by concentrating first on those assets where active management can make the biggest difference, the areas that have the largest dispersion of returns (such as illiquid investments) and where the expertise lies.

After 30 years at Yale, David Swensen has not only delivered attractive investment returns but the Yale model, its disciplined approach to asset allocation and investment selection with a focus on rebalancing rather than market timing, has influenced many investment professionals.   And although there aren't many UK charities, foundations and endowments that could rival Yale for size ($24bn) or tolerance for illiquidity, we share much common ground with our friends across the pond.

A version of this article first appeared in Third Sector in June 2015. For this and other articles by Kate Rogers, visit thirdsector.co.uk

The opinions contained herein are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the house view. This document is intended to be for information purposes only. The material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The material is not intended to provide, and should not be relied on for, accounting, legal or tax advice, or investment recommendations. Information herein is believed to be reliable but Cazenove Capital does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. No responsibility can be accepted for errors of fact or opinion. This does not exclude or restrict any duty or liability that Cazenove Capital has to its customers under the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (as amended from time to time) or any other regulatory system. Cazenove Capital is part of the Schroder Group and a trading name of Schroder & Co. Limited 12 Moorgate, London, EC2R 6DA. Authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. For your security, communications may be taped and monitored. 

Contact Cazenove Charities

Achieving your charity's investment objectives takes time and thought. To find out how we can help you please contact:

Giles Neville

Giles Neville

Head of Charities giles.neville@cazenovecapital.com
John Clifton

John Clifton

Business Development Manager john.clifton@cazenovecapital.com