PERSPECTIVE3-5 min to read

"Flygskam" – the very real impact of climate change on Swedish airlines

Swedish airlines are just the latest industry to feel the pinch from carbon conscious consumers, through "flygskam" (flight shame).

28/05/2019
Stockholm_trains_evening

Authors

Isabella Hervey-Bathurst
Global Sector Specialist

On 20 August 2018, an unknown Swedish teenager called Greta Thunberg stood in solitary protest outside the Swedish parliament. Frustrated at the same unacceptably sluggish action on climate change we highlight in our Climate Progress Dashboard, Thunberg nonetheless cut a lonely figure. A self-proclaimed introvert, it seems unlikely that Thunberg would have envisaged that six months later, around 1.6 million students would protest her cause around the world.

The “Fridays-for-Future” movement initiated by Thunberg resulted in over 2,000 protests in 125 countries in a single day, demonstrating the increasing demand for solutions among younger people. The recent “Extinction Rebellion” protests in several European cities included protesters supergluing themselves to trains, trucks, and buildings. The 10-day protest was another more forceful, large-scale call for political action.

As climate change investors, we believe the theme will disrupt real businesses and every day life faster than most investors appreciate. The costs of taking action on climate change have fallen faster than many expected and the benefits of addressing climate risks have become clearer. This has prompted more and more people to forego self-interest and act at the personal level for real change. No longer a “worry for tomorrow”, climate change is already affecting consumer habits, influencing company profitability and changing corporate behaviour.

The language of change: “flygskam” and “tagskryt”

Thunberg’s European tour to carry her messages on climate change took in London, Rome and Strasbourg. When travelling, the activist shunned plane travel completely in favour of trains. By choosing the train, she saved about 400kg of CO2, or a tenth of the average Swede’s annual carbon emissions.

Thunberg’s flight-free tour comes a month after the WWF released a survey which showed that almost a quarter of Swedes have opted out of air travel over the past year to reduce their climate impact. The strength of the flygskam (flight shame) movement on travel patterns shouldn’t be underestimated. The trend has also seen the rise of another buzzword to express pride in avoiding air travel, tagskryt, or “train-bragging”.

Indeed, Sweden’s airline and airport operators have seen passenger numbers decline whilst rail operators have seen their numbers boosted.

CS1464_airport_numbers_sweden

CS1464_SC_Train_passenger_numbers

Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-04-14/as-flying-shame-grips-sweden-sas-ups-stakes-in-climate-battle CS1464

The companies facing the sternest climate change threat

Heartened by signs of increased awareness about climate change, we are of course also keenly interested in how low-carbon lifestyle changes affect different corporate sectors.

Aviation is a sector that will be incredibly tough to decarbonise. Batteries and fuel cells are unlikely to work in aircraft except over short distances. Longer term, the fossil fuels powering planes will probably have to be replaced with biofuels and synthetic fuels; technologies that are currently expensive and scarce. However, demand management can also play a role, and this is where flygskam comes in.

Shifts in transport modes and logistics efficiency could reduce carbon emissions from heavy-duty transport (including aviation) by 20%1, according to an Energy Transitions Commission report looking at decarbonising hard-to-fix sectors. The move from plane to rail for short-haul passenger trips, on a kg/km basis, reduces carbon emissions by 85%2.

The report advocates investment in railways and financial incentives for consumers to help drive the change. However, normative shifts like the flygskam movement can be very powerful too. From an investment perspective, we are particularly interested in the tagskryt side of the coin, and see tremendous potential from the growth of rail travel and rail freight.

1. http://www.energy-transitions.org/sites/default/files/ETC_MissionPossible_FullReport.pdf

2. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2019/apr/26/greta-thunberg-train-journey-through-europe-flygskam-no-fly]

This article is issued by Cazenove Capital which is part of the Schroders Group and a trading name of Schroder & Co. Limited, 1 London Wall Place, London EC2Y 5AU. Authorised by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority and the Prudential Regulation Authority. 

Nothing in this document should be deemed to constitute the provision of financial, investment or other professional advice in any way. Past performance is not a guide to future performance. The value of an investment and the income from it may go down as well as up and investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

This document may include forward-looking statements that are based upon our current opinions, expectations and projections. We undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated in the forward-looking statements.

All data contained within this document is sourced from Cazenove Capital unless otherwise stated.

Authors

Isabella Hervey-Bathurst
Global Sector Specialist

Topics

The value of your investments and the income received from them can fall as well as rise. You may not get back the amount you invested.